Fokus Forex Minggu Ini

Fokus Forex berdasarkan Morgan Stanley (Investment Banking) 

USD. USD Correction Largely Over. Bullish.

We believe the current USD correction is largely over and expect more USD strength, particularly against the low yielders. Yellen's speech was important as it indicated Yellen was one of the median SEP dots supporting three rate hikes, keeping US front end rate expectations supported. In addition, US data has continued to come in on the strong side this week, with better jobless claims and inflation figures. Trump's comments inject some uncertainty but, as we note in the overview, we don't think this will change the appreciation trend of USD. We expect reflationary themes to push USD higher from these levels.

EUR: Dovish ECB. Bearish.

The ECB retained its dovish language in the latest meeting, even though there are signs of rising inflation in some EMU countries. President Draghi suggesting that policy should be tightened only when inflation is sustained and euro-area wide, implies that the ECB may remain accommodative for some time, given the wide divergence between the core and periphery economies. This will keep EMU nominal yields relatively low, and as global and EMU inflation rises, real yields will decline, weakening the EUR. We remain short EUR/USD.*

GBP: Tactical Short-Covering Rally. Bullish.

We think there is potential for GBP/USD to rally back to 1.27/1.28 before moving lower again towards our quarterend target of 1.17. We think the key takeaway from PM May's speech was that either the UK will have access to the single market or the business model will be changed, both of which we see as GBP-supportive in the short term. The market is still short GBP, suggesting that there is room for positioning adjustment to lift the currency. This week, the main events to watch are the Supreme Court ruling and GDP.

CHF: Driven by Global Risk. Neutral.

The SNB's Jordan commenting that negative rates are necessary and have worked well in Switzerland suggests that negative rates are here to stay for some time and the central bank is unlikely to change policy anytime soon. Therefore, USDCHF is likely to remain driven predominantly by the USD leg, and is likely to have more upside on real yield differentials. The key event that will affect global risk and CHF this week is President-elect Trump's inauguration speech. If global risk appetite weakens, CHF is likely to benefit from safe haven demand.

CAD: Turning Bearish CAD. Bearish.

We are turning bearish on CAD as we think yesterday’s BoC meeting was a game changer for the near-term CAD trajectory. The BoC followed its moderately dovish statement and MPR with an even more dovish press conference, which emphasized the limited positive impact from US fiscal stimulus and the still-challenging Canadian economic outlook. With its projections for the output gap closure to not be until mid-2018, it seems hard to justify the market still pricing 10bps of hikes this year. With the BoC dovish, increasing worries over NAFTA and the market still long CAD, we expect CAD to weaken as rates markets price at least a flat curve over 2017. We have entered a long USDCAD trade on the back of this change in view.*

AUD: Waiting for better levels to sell. Neutral.

AUD has continued to perform well and despite our bearish medium-term view, we are waiting for better levels to sell. In addition, commodity prices such as iron ore and other metals continue to rally, allowing AUDUSD to break out of the top end of a long held channel at 0.74. With USD rising, AUD may stop its upward trajectory but we are still waiting for catalysts on the domestic or external side (namely China) to enter short positions. Longer term, we see the RBA becoming more dovish and even cutting rates as the economy’s overreliance on trade with China and its overextended housing market may start to reduce consumption.

NZD: USD Drives NZDUSD Pair. Neutral.

We still see the NZD outperforming the AUD over the medium term and closed our trade last week on the back of AUD's aggressive short-term rally. Generally NZDUSD has been driven by the USD side of the pair lately with less focus on domestic development but this week's CPI print will be important. Inflation is expected to bounce back to its highest YoY level in almost two years, which would help confirm the current pricing of the one hike by the RBNZ over the next year.

namun yang perlu diperhatikan disini adalah ini merupakan referensi/rekomendasi dari para analis investment bank (Tier 2/level 2 Forex Trader) kemampuan modal dan margin trading kita berbeda dengan mereka, gunakan hanya sebagai referensi), Terima Kasih.

Fokus Forex Minggu Ini

Fokus Forex berdasarkan Morgan Stanley (Investment Banking) 

USD: Buying the Dip*. Bullish.

We believe the current USD correction is of a positioning adjustment nature and remain structurally bullish on the USD. Therefore, we use the USD dip to add long positions to our portfolio. US data has continued to come in on the strong side, most recently reflected in the NFIB small business optimism. The current period bears little resemblance to the beginning of last year which led to a lasting peak in USD for many months as the Fed turned more dovish. We still believe in the reflationary theme and expect a hawkish Fed, expectations around fiscal policy and the threat of protectionist measures to keep USD supported.

EUR: Selling EURUSD* Bearish.

We use the recent rally in EURUSD to add a short position to our portfolio. Our arguments for a weaker EUR have not changed. In the absence of further political integration, the ECB may have to remain accommodative to support the struggling periphery even as the core overheats. As EMU inflation shows signs of rising, real yields may decline to weaken the EUR. The risk of rising populism with the upcoming elections in the Netherlands, France and Germany will also be an undertone for the currency. This week, we watch CPI and the ECB rates decision, paying particular attention to the ECB's rhetoric on the recent upside surprise in inflation. 

GBP: Weighed by Brexit. Bearish.

We expect GBP to continue weakening to reach the cyclical low of 1.17 this quarter, on the back of post-Brexit investment weakness surfacing in the data and concerns over upcoming exit negotiations. The start of the Brexit negotiation is likely to show a wide split between the UK and the EU's position, which markets may interpret as being difficult to bridge, increasing the risk premium on GBP assets. The widening of the current account deficit in the latest data also does not bode well for GBP as it makes GBP more vulnerable to rising US yields. GBP has moved back to being driven predominantly by politics, thus PM May's speeches this week should be watched.

CHF: Watching Global Risk. Neutral.

As we think the near-term USD correction could run for a little longer, USDCHF – which is predominantly driven by the USD leg – could retrace to around parity, which we would use to buy. The latest Switzerland CPI print was encouraging as inflation escaped negative territory, driven predominantly by imported inflation turning less negative, suggesting the SNB is unlikely to change their policy anytime soon. The key event that will affect CHF this week is President-elect Trump's inauguration speech. If global risk appetite weakens, CHF will benefit from safe haven demand.

CAD: Risks of Dovish BoC. Neutral.

We expect CAD to outperform other commodity currencies. CAD is not as vulnerable as MXN to trade protectionism given a prior free trade agreement which would take effect if the US backs out of NAFTA, though this remains a risk. However, a better US economic outlook (from other policies like fiscal stimulus) should benefit Canada. However, next week's BoC meeting is a key risk; the markets are pricing in a relatively hawkish path for the Bank which they may pushback on given the mixed data overall in Canada. Recent trade data and the 4Q business outlook survey were better than expected, but core inflation has decelerated and growth remains challenged. At the end of the day, we expect the BoC to adopt a neutral tone and emphasize a wait and see approach. But we do see dips in CAD from a more dovish BoC, and we see them as opportunities to buy.

AUD: Waiting for better levels to sell. Neutral.

 The market is still in a position adjustment mode in regards to the USD and treasuries. In addition, commodity prices such as iron ore and other metals continue to rally, allowing AUDUSD to break out of the top end of a long held channel at 0.74. We see some further upside in the AUD in the short term as the market looks for a negative risk or bullish USD catalyst. Longer term we see the RBA becoming more dovish and even cutting rates as the economy’s overreliance on trade with China and its overextended housing market may start to reduce consumption. We closed short AUDNZD* and look for a rally to sell AUDUSD.

NZD: USD Drives NZDUSD Pair. Neutral.

We still see the NZD outperforming the AUD over the medium term but as the USD correction continues and metals prices rally, we have decided to close our short AUDNZD position and will wait for better entry points. Generally NZDUSD has been driven by the USD side of the pair, helping its outperformance and we expect that story to continue this week. The market has already priced in hikes from the RBNZ so we will be watching the CPI print at the end of the month to see if that could change.

namun yang perlu diperhatikan disini adalah ini merupakan referensi/rekomendasi dari para analis investment bank (Tier 2/level 2 Forex Trader) kemampuan modal dan margin trading kita berbeda dengan mereka, gunakan hanya sebagai referensi), Terima Kasih.

Salam konsultaninvestasi.com

Fokus Forex Minggu Ini

Fokus Forex berdasarkan Morgan Stanley (Investment Banking) 

USD: Buying USD Dips. Bullish.

We believe the current USD correction offers an opportunity to enter long USD trades in line with USD bullish view. The current period bears little resemblance to the beginning of last year which led to a lasting peak in USD for many months as the Fed turned more dovish. We still believe in the reflationary theme and expect a hawkish Fed, expectations around fiscal policy and the threat of protectionist measures will keep USD supported. The Fed minutes this week show the Fed is comfortable with the market’s hawkish interpretation of the SEP dots. Crowded positioning remains a risk in the near term in addition to disappointment on the policy front.

EUR: Selling Rallies. Bearish.

The development in real yields and ECB policy offer good reasons to be short the EUR. The ECB has developed a dovish framework even as signs of inflation are appearing in the Eurozone. While the EUR REER trades 22% above its low point reached in 2000, the increasing economic divergence within the Euro bloc and the rising populist risk via upcoming elections in Holland, France and Germany all argue for a weaker EUR. As global inflationary pressures rise and risk appetite stays strong, we would expect the EUR to weaken. We add a short EURUSD limit order to our portfolio this week.*

JPY: Buying USD/JPY Dips. Bearish.

We like buying the recent dip in USDJPY as our core views have not changed. We continue to expect USDJPY to rise to our 130 target in mid-2018. Reflationary impulses support our structural bullish USDJPY view. US fiscal and monetary policy are leading to higher interest rates in the US. At the same time, the BoJ's yield curve management ensures that higher global rates push rate differentials against JPY. Crowded positioning, particularly by the fast money community, remains a risk to ourview and is probably at least partly to blame for USDJPY's recent fall.

GBP: Tough Times Ahead. Bearish.

We reiterate ourview that GBP is likely to weaken to reach its cyclical low in 1Q17. Post-Brexit investment spending weakness should become more evident in the data, following the downside surprise in 3Q16 business investment. Ahead of the government triggering Article 50 by end March, the split position between 'hard' and 'soft' Brexit will come increasingly into focus. Tensions within the government may also become more visible, particularly if the Supreme Court gives the Parliament additional rights to decide on the exit negotiation strategy.

CHF: Driven By USD. Neutral.

Given our expectation for a USD correction, USDCHF – which is predominantly driven by the USD leg – could retrace to around parity, which we would use to buy. The latest Switzerland CPI print was encouraging as inflation escaped negative territory, driven predominantly by imported inflation turning less negative, suggesting the SNB is likely to maintain its current policy. While CHF has not strengthened on the back of safe haven demand from rising volatility in CNY, the key events to watch are the inauguration of President-elect Trump in 2 weeks' time and the Eurozone political events throughout the year. This week, we watch FX reserves.

CAD: Weak Data A Riskto Bullish View. Bullish.

We expect CAD to outperform other commodity currencies. CAD is not as vulnerable as MXN to trade protectionism given a prior free trade agreement which would take effect if the US backs out of NAFTA, though this remains a risk. However, a better US economic outlook (from other policies like fiscal stimulus) should benefit Canada. The main risk to our call is the weaker data we have seen recently. The BoC's new core inflation measures show a decline recently and December GDP was weaker than expected. We still don't expect BoC easing though, as Poloz noted that it would take a "significant departure" in the outlook for that to happen.

AUD: Market Too Hawkish on RBA. Bearish.

We are bearish AUD and expect it to underperform NZD. The market has priced too hawkish a path for the RBA despite little improvement in the data. 3Q GDP contracting 0.5% and a poor trade report show that despite the better external environment, Australia’s economy is still struggling. Australia remains vulnerable to falling house prices and will also be hurt as China's mini-cycle recovery slows. While the RBA may not cut rates for the foreseeable future, in ourview it will make sure the market reflects its easing bias, weakening AUD. AUD is also particularly vulnerable to rising US interest rates given its high yield status (relatively speaking) and current account deficit.

NZD: Outperformance vs AUD. Neutral.

We expect NZD to outperform AUD but weaken against USD. New Zealand's economic outlook has improved with high migration and booming housing supporting growth. The half-year update this week from Bill English confirmed this, with growth being revised higher and rising budget surpluses. This is likely to be enough to offset the RBNZ worries over the inflation outlook and, in particular, the exchange rate. However, we don't rule out another rate cut or even FX intervention, though the latter would occur only after substantially more FX appreciation. We expect NZDUSD to continue to depreciate due to our expectation for USD to rise but we expect NZD outperformance of AUD in the near term unless we see worsening data in New Zealand or dovish rhetoric from the RBNZ

namun yang perlu diperhatikan disini adalah ini merupakan referensi/rekomendasi dari para analis investment bank (Tier 2/level 2 Forex Trader) kemampuan modal dan margin trading kita berbeda dengan mereka, gunakan hanya sebagai referensi), Terima Kasih.

Fokus Forex Kita Minggu Ini 4 - 6 JAN 2017

Fokus Forex Kita minggu ini adalah masih tetap US Dollar, sepertinya Trend penguatan US Dollar akan terus berlanjut ada awal 2017 ini dikarenakan tingginya expetasi terhadap kabinet baru dan perbaikan ekonomi dunia pada awal tahun 2017 ini, hal ini dapat kita lihat dari data PMI yang semuanya berada pada zona positif dimulai dari standar Ekonomi global "China".

Memang selama belum ada kebijakan yang "Mengecewakan" dari sentral bank maupun kabinet baru US, US dollar tetap tak terkalahkan, kebijakan fiskal yang dicanangkan oleh pemerintah baru, sangat mendapat respon positif dari market, dengan menaikan tarif import diharapkan dapat memperbaiki penerimaan negara yang selalu minus, peningkatan penerimaan negara ini akan di "injeksikan" langsung dan dapat dinikmati oleh rakyat dengan  diadakannya proyek-proyek pemerintah terutama infrastruktur dan perumahan hal ini dapat membuka lapangan pekerjaan baru bagi masyarakat US dan inilah sebabnya kenapa selalu dikatakan bahwa segi "Spending" diperkirakan akan meningkat  dan sekaligus juga memangkas pajak export yang mana dapat memacu pertumbuhan ekonomi bisnis dan memperbaiki neraca perdagangan (trade balance) yang mana merupakan rapot pemerintah.

Sebagai Trader forex, tentu saja kita tidak dapat berexpetasi terlalu jauh, kita lebih melihat keadaan yang "benar-benar" terjadi, kita ambil contoh pada awal 2016 expetasi market terhadap US Dolar terutama terhadap Japan Yen sangatlah tinggi dimana buy USDJPY karena expetasi kenaikan suku bunga FED dan kebijakan suku bunga negatif Pemerintah Japan, namun pada kenyataannya US Dollar melemah dan Japan Yen menguat jatuh mencapai di bawah 100 yen, namun perbedaan dengan memasuki tahun 2017 adalah pada tahun ini ada pergantian kabinet pemerintah baru yang sangat direspon positif oleh market, jadi untuk itu fundamental US akan terus dipantau, salah satu yang sangat penting dalam minggu ini adalah FOMC Meeting, dimana ini akan menegaskan posisi bank sentral US, trader diharapkan untuk memantaunya, tidak lupa juga dengan NFP yang akan dikeluarkan pada jumat nanti.

Dengan menguatnya US Dollar, diperkirakan oleh banyak Trader Forex level/Tier 2, Posisi USDJPY diperkirakan akan menembus 120 yen, namun tentu saja akan terjadi juga koreksi2 dikarenakan posisi overbought technical, EURO Dan GBP masih dalam tekanan sell namun sepertinya akan mencapai keseimbangan dalam waktu dekat dikarenakan harganya yang telah sangat murah, namun harus ada "Pemicu" untuk itu. Menurut Morgan Stanley (investment Bank) mereka melihat adanya potensi sell AUD dalam waktu-waktu ke depan, dan banyak juga yang merekomendasikan (TD Bank & Morgan Stanley) untuk Sell EURGBP.( namun yang perlu diperhatikan disini adalah ini merupakan referensi/rekomendasi dari para analis investment bank (Tier 2/level 2 Forex Trader) kemampuan modal dan margin trading kita berbeda dengan mereka, gunakan hanya sebagai referensi).

Akhir kata konsultaninvestasi.com dan blog beritaforexku mengucapkan "SELAMAT TAHUN BARU 2017" Semoga Tahun ini Trader semua dapat beroleh keuntungan yang besar Amin.

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Berita Forex Hari Ini

Fokus Forex Minggu Ini 19 Dec - 23 Dec 2016

Fokus Forex berdasarkan Morgan Stanley (Investment Banking) 

USD: Bullish Following Fed. Neutral.

We previously saw USD beginning to rally again in the new year. Following the hawkish Fed meeting, we are bringing forward that expected strength and expect USD to rally in line with the themes we have been discussing. The revising up of the 2017 dots and the neutral rate, along with Yellen's pushback on her support for an overheating economy, are all hawkish signs and more reason for the rates market to reprice higher. Next year, major policy initiatives as a result of the US election are likely to be USD positive, including fiscal stimulus, risk of protectionism and corporate tax reform. USD strength will be most pronounced against the low yielders like JPY.

EUR: Making New Lows. Bearish.

Amidst the broad USD strength from a hawkish Fed, EURUSD has reached the lowest level since January 2003, giving it more momentum to the downside. We expect EURUSD could continue to head towards parity driven by USD strength and an accommodative ECB. The ECB allowing purchases of bonds in the 2-year tenor and below the depo rate weakens the EUR by lowering front-end yield differentials – which EURUSD is more sensitive to – and steepening the yield curve which will help bank profitability and encourage the export of capital. 

GBP: Potential for Rebound. Bullish.

We maintain the view that GBPUSD could tactically rebound to 1.30/1.31 going into year-end. With the BoE maintaining its neutral stance, coupled with recent UK data such as CPI and retail sales holding up well, the downside in GBP is likely to be capped. GBP also has a high 'hard Brexit' risk premium priced in, and with recent news indicating that this risk is lessening, there is potential for some 'hard Brexit' discount to be priced out. We remain short EUR/GBP.*

CHF: More Strength Tolerated. Neutral.

We continue to look for CHF strength against selected currencies such as JPY. The latest SNB meeting adds further support to our argument that the SNB may be more tolerant of CHF strength. The statement that they will intervene "while taking the overall currency situation into consideration" suggests that they may focus more on the CHF TWI which is not at extreme levels, allowing more room for CHF appreciation. With a busy Eurozone political risk calendar in 2017, CHF could also benefit from safe haven demand.

CAD: Best Performing Commodity Currency. Bullish.

We expect CAD to outperform other commodity currencies. CAD is not as vulnerable as MXN to trade protectionism given a prior free trade agreement which would take effect if the US backs out of NAFTA, though this still remains a risk. However, a better US economic outlook (from other policies like fiscal stimulus) should benefit Canada. Data has remained weak with this week's poor manufacturing sales report following a poor trade report last week. However, last week's BoC meeting provided no surprises and while the Bank pointed out uncertainties around the outlook, it reaffirmed its neutral bias and made clear the bar for easing is high. Poloz noted that it would take a "significant departure" in the outlook for easing, supporting ourview.

NZD: Outperformance vs AUD. Neutral.

We expect NZD to outperform AUD but weaken against USD. New Zealand's economic outlook has improved with high migration and booming housing supporting growth. The half-year update this week from Bill English confirmed this, with growth being revised higher and rising budget surpluses. This is likely to be enough to offset the RBNZ worries over the inflation outlook and, in particular, the exchange rate. However, we don't rule out another rate cut or even FX intervention, though the latter would occur only after substantially more FX appreciation. We expect NZDUSD to continue to depreciate due to the USD rally but we expect NZD outperformance of AUD in the near term unless we see worsening data in New Zealand or dovish rhetoric from the RBNZ.

Fokus Forex Kita Minggu Ini 12 - 16 DEC 2016

Fokus Forex kita minggu ini ada pada pergerakan fundamental US Dollar, Euro, dan harga Minyak dunia, seperti yang kita ketahui bahwa sejak pemenang pemilu president Amerika diumumkan, US Dollar telah menemukan kekuatannya kembali, beriringan dengan peramalan kenaikan suku bunga FED yang akan dilaksanakan pada bulan ini dan beberapa kali pada tahun 2017 ini membuat US Dollar menjadi "nyaris" tak terkalahkan, namun yang dinamakan "peramalan" tentu saja bersifat spekulatif, sama halnya yang terjadi pada waktu memasuki tahun 2016, diperkirakan FED akan menaikan suku bunganya beberapa kali pada tahun ini, nyatanya sampai sekarang FED belum sekalipun menaikan suku bunganya pada tahun ini, begitu pula yang terjadi dengan Japan Yen terhadap kebijakan suku bunga negatifnya yang di perkirakan Japan yen akan melemah, namun pada kenyataannya adalah Japan yen menguat terhadap US Dollar sampai menembus level 100 Yen, hal ini membuat para spekulator besar yang beraliran fundamental mengalami kerugian, apakan pergerakan US Dollar belakangan ini (terhadap GBP / EURO / JPY) yang sepertinya "sedikit radikal" ada hubungannya dengan hal ini (Fund Double Buy) ?

Berdasarkan analisis di atas, dapat disimpulkan bahwa US Dollar ini seperti "Bom Waktu" setiap saat dapat  "Meledak" karena pergerakannya bersifat "Spekulatif" namun tentu saja untuk mematahkan hal "Spekulatif" kita membutuhkan "Big News" untuk itu, pertanyaanya adalah "apa yang terjadi setelah FED menaikan suku bunganya pada kamis depan?" kita dapat melihat bahwa data tenaga kerja US (khususnya NFP) sepertinya kurang begitu memuaskan, ditambah data Earning yang ditutup melemah "jumat kemarin" ini dapat menjadi sinyal awal pelemahan inflasi atau spending di US, namun tentu saja kebijakan awal Presiden D. Trump dan Kabinetnya, itulah yang ditunggu market, oleh sebab itulah dapat dikatakan US Dollar adalah seperti Bom Waktu.

Setelah pengumuman suku bunga FED, mungkin kita akan "sedikit" defensif terhadap US Dollar, dan menunggu perkembangan selanjutnya, namun kabar baiknya adalah tidak hanya US Dollar yang menjadi Fokus belakangan ini, adalah EURO yang belakangan ini kembali menjadi fokus market, dengan sentimen "melemah" dengan adanya  kebijakan "Easing" yang diterapkan oleh bank central ECB, ditambah faktor BREXIT, dan berbagai masalah di dalam negara-negara eropa seperti Italy, Prancis dll, serta adanya kemungkinan negara - negara lain mengikuti jejak Inggris untuk keluar dari Zona EURO, hal ini membuat EURO semakin kehilangan pegangan.

Sudah beberapa minggu ini kita terus membahas pergerakan Minyak dunia, dan jikalau Traders mengikutinya, tentu saja Traders sudah mendapatkan Profit yang banyak sekali, karena sekarang pada waktu berita ini ditulis, harga minyak dunia telah melampaui US $53 / Barrel, berita pada awal minggu ini dimulai dari, negara-negara OPEC dan NONOPEC telah menyetujui  kesepakatan adanya pengurangan produksi untuk mendongkrak harga minyak dunia, karena beberapa produsen minyak dunia seperti US telah membukukan kerugian karena "Over-cost".

Akhir kata sekarang kita mencoba melihat sentimen market yang ada sekarang yaitu Buy US Dollar, Sell EURO, Buy CAD dikarenakan segolongan jenis dengan AUD sebagai mata uang berbasis komoditi, dan dikarenakan penguatan US Dollar terhadap Yen Japan (Buy USDJPY) maka, AUDJPY haruslah BUY. begitulah kira-kira sentimen yang beredar di market sekarang, namun tentu saja fundamental harianlah yang seharusnya menjadi acuan utama, Happy Trading Guys.

 

Pengumuman !!
Kini Xeo Trading Method Menambahkan 2 Mata uang baru, yaitu AUDUSD dan AUDJPY (lebih cenderung dipakai Untuk Pratik Carry Trade), Kini metode XTM lebih Powerfull. begitu pula dalam Blog Beritaforexku kini akan ditambahkan dan  diulas Fundamental Australian Dollar. Salam Profit Traders

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Berita Forex Hari Ini

Fokus Forex Kita Minggu Ini 5 - 9 DEC 2016

Berita yang cukup mengejutkan pada awal pembukaan perdagangan minggu ini adalah Jatuhnya EURUSD yang cukup "dalam" disebabkan oleh berita dari Negara Italy yang mana Perdana Mentri Italy Matteo Renzi mengumumkan akan mengundurkan diri disebabkanl oleh kekalahannya pada referendum Reformasi konstitusional di Negara ke tiga terbesar di zona Eropa tersebut, market mengkhawatirkan bahwa hal ini dapat menggoyahkan stabilitas ekonomi dan pelemahan sistem perbankan di negara tersebut.

Jatuhnya EURO membuat sentimen positif terhadap US Dollar setelah Data NFP yang dikoreksi turun (meskipun dibuka positif terhadap Forecast), dan jatuhnya tingkat upah buruh (diluar "farming" / jam) sehingga membuat kekhawatiran terhadap inflasi di negara US, namun sebaliknya hal ini di perkirakan tidak akan mematahkan semangat Bank sentral US FED atas keinginannya untuk menaikan suku bunganya dalam bulan ini, sepertinya sentimen market pada saat ini beralih ke BUY US Dollar dan Sell Euro namun tentu saja kita harus melihat perkembangan kedepannya.

Berdasarkan laporan "Open Interest", bahwa speculator besar masih tetap memegang US dollar Dalam jumlah besar selama minggu kemarin dan memegang rekor tertinggi, sebaliknya dilihat dari posisi Japan Yen total net Seller dan Buyer cukup berimbang, sepertinya jikalau tidak ada berita yang cukup kuat, yen japan sepertinya akan bergerak "Bergelombang" (sideways) namun fundamental yen sediri ditambah dengan penguatan Minyak dunia dan US Dollar turut menekan Japan yen USDJPY harus berhasil menembus 115 Yen untuk mengejar target aman BUYnya.

Untuk Trader GBPUSD, dikarenakan Fundamental EURO yang sedang "Memimpin" diharapkan agar Traders memperhatikan  "korelasinya" bisa searah namun bisa juga berlawanan dikarenakan Crossratenya, jadi ada 3 chart yang harus di buka yaitu GBPUSD, EURUSD dan EURGBP perhatikan juga jam news antara US news dan European News, yang harus di ingat adalah GBPUSD = GBP + USD bukan hanya USD, harap traders dapat jeli memperhatikannya.

Pengumuman !!
Kini Xeo Trading Method Menambahkan 2 Mata uang baru, yaitu AUDUSD dan AUDJPY (lebih cenderung dipakai Untuk Pratik Carry Trade), Kini metode XTM lebih Powerfull. begitu pula dalam Blog Beritaforexku kini akan ditambahkan dan  diulas Fundamental Australian Dollar. Salam Profit Traders

SEKIAN TERIMAKASIH

Salam

Konsultan Investasi

Belajar Forex & Forum XTM

Berita Forex Hari Ini